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Case Facts as on March 31, 2012

Mark Construction Company (MCC) has bagged a contract for construction of a large dam and hydro power project on river Shivna in Madhya Pradesh (MP). The project is also of relevance from the irrigation perspective due to its location and as per the agreement MCC will have to undertake construction of web of canals, approach road to dam, power house and other ancillary units. MCC is promoted by Mr. Thomas Mark, who is a MP from the ruling party which recently formed government in MP. Historically, MCC has been engaged into construction of rural roads, small bridges and railway platforms on contract basis for the Government. MCC will have a separate special purpose vehicle (SPV) floated for this venture.

The hydro power project comes under the public private partnership scheme of the Government of MP, where in the private partner builds owns operates and transfers (BOOT) the hydro power plant. The detailed terms of the hydro power project agreement are as follows:

1. The construction of the dam, canals and hydro power plant shall be undertaken by the contractor. The Government of MP will have to acquire land which will submerge on construction of dam and shall rehabilitate the owners of land.

2. MCC shall have right to operate the hydro power project from date of commencement of commercial operations (DCCO) for a period of 20 years and shall transfer the project to Government thereafter. Further, SPV shall be tax exempt for a period of five years from DCCO i.e. FY17-FY21.

3. The power project is of 600 megawatts (MW) shall comprise 4 units of 150 MW each. The estimated cost of project is about INR3, 500 Million to be spent over a period of 4 year(s) the project is estimated to be commercially operational by April 1, 2016 with two units operational om same day and one unit each will be operational on April 1, 2017 and April 1, 2018.

4. Means of finance:

Means of Finance INR Million

Government Aid (To be classified as Equity) 500Equity 900 Debt 2100

5. Amount if expenditure estimated in various years is as follows:

Funding

Cost of ProjectINR MillionDebtGovt Aid EquityTotal

FY13 (April to march)7000250450700

FY1412005002504501200

FY1512001200-1200

FY15400400-400

Debt shall bear a fixed rate of interest of 10% and all interest till DCCO shall be added to the principal. The expected principal along with capitalized interest is expected to be INR2, 400 Million (i.e.INR2100 Million debt plus INR300 Million capitalized interest). The repayment of the same shall be in 12 equated annual installments starting from FY17.

Brief projections for the period of FY17 to FY21 are given below:

Developments as on March 31, 2015

The project manager for the SPV made following comments at a press conferee on March 31, 2015:

As you all are aware, we were running bang on schedule till we last met on December 21, 2014. From today we are just left with one more year to complete the project in time. However, the flash floods which struck our dam site on this March 15, 2015 have created havoc in the region. I shall not point out the loss of lives in the region as you all are well aware of those. Our project has also been badly hit due to the same and we have been assessing the damage over the last one week. After analyzing damage, we have made changes in project schedule. Now we will be making only one unit of 150 MW operational on April 1, 2016 and 1 unit each will be added in each of subsequent year(s).

Development as on September 30, 2015

Post the flash floods, lot of environmentalists started raising issues of changes in environment due to construction of large number of dams. A few Public Interest Litigations (PILs) have been filed in various courts.

Honorable High Court of MP on September 27, 2015, banned construction of any dams in the region and banned permissions for new dams till next hearing scheduled on November 30, 2015. MCC in its press release has indicated that they will apply to the higher court on the matter.

As a credit rating analyst on September 30, 2015, on receipt of the high court order, what rating action you will take:

Put ratings on rating watch.
Change rating outlook for long term to negative.
No action, wait for order if higher courts or hearing on November 30, 2015.
Immediately downgrade ratings of SPV.

Correct answer: A

Scott is a credit analyst with one of the credit rating agencies in India. He was looking in Oil and Gas Industry companies and has presented brief financials for following 4 entities:

Giving equal weightage to all three ratios, determine which of the above entities should be rated highest on a relative scale.

C Ltd
A Ltd
D Ltd
B Ltd

Correct answer: A

Scott is a credit analyst with one of the credit rating agencies in India. He was looking in Oil and Gas Industry companies and has presented brief financials for following 4 entities:

From the data given below, calculate the standard deviation of the credit portfolio assuming that facility’s exposure is known with certainty, customer defaults and LGDs are independent of one another and LGDs are independent across borrower(s).

Credit Facility A – Loss Equivalent Exposure of $60m, expected Default frequency of 1.5%, loss given default of 30%, Std Deviation of LGD – 5% and Correlation to portfolio – 0.10

Credit Facility B – Loss Equivalent Exposure of $25m, expected Default frequency of 2%, loss given default of 12%, Std Deviation of LGD – 12% and Correlation to portfolio – 0.45

Credit Facility C – Loss Equivalent Exposure of $15m, expected Default frequency of 5%, loss given default of 85%, Std Deviation of LGD – 18% and Correlation to portfolio – 0.22

US$6.88 million
US$ 1.16 million
US$ 1.66 million
US$ 0.10 million

Correct answer: B

Scott is a credit analyst with one of the credit rating agencies in India. He was looking in Oil and Gas Industry companies and has presented brief financials for following 4 entities:

Which of the following statements is incorrect?

B Ltd has higher EBITDA margins as compared to C Ltd.
D Ltd has higher EBITDA margins as competed to B Ltd.
C Ltd has worst total debt to EBITDA ratio.
B Ltd has worst interest coverage ratio.

Correct answer: A

Following is information related banks:

Auckland Ltd is a public sector bank operating with about 120 branches across India. The bank has been in business since 1971 and has about 40% branches in rural areas and about 75% of all branches are in Western India. On the basis of the size, Auckland Ltd will be ranked at number 31 amongst 40 banks in India. Although top management has appointment period of 5 years, generally they retire on ach sieving age of 60 years with an average tenure of only 2 years at the top job.

Profit and Loss Account

Balance Sheet

The rating wise break-up of assets for FY11 is as follows:

The core spreads for FY13 as compared to FY12 have:

Expanded by 136 bps
Contracted by 327 bps
Contracted by 136 bps
Expanded by 191 bps

Correct answer: C

Following is information related banks:

Auckland Ltd is a public sector bank operating with about 120 branches across India. The bank has been in business since 1971 and has about 40% branches in rural areas and about 75% of all branches are in Western India. On the basis of the size, Auckland Ltd will be ranked at number 31 amongst 40 banks in India. Although top management has appointment period of 5 years, generally they retire on ach sieving age of 60 years with an average tenure of only 2 years at the top job.

Profit and Loss Account

Balance Sheet

The rating wise break-up of assets for FY11 is as follows:

Cost to income ratio is best for which year

FY13
FY11
Same FY11 and FY12
FY12

Correct answer: A

Ms. Mary Brown is a credit rating analyst. She had prepared a detailed report on one of her client, FlyHigh Airlines Ltd, a company operating chartered aircrafts in India. As she was heading for a meeting with her superior on the matter, coffee spilled over her set of prepared paper(s). As she was getting late for meeting, instead of preparing entire set she could recollect few numbers from her memory and reconstructed following partial financial table:

Compute Interest for FY10 and FY12?

Insufficient Information to compute
FY10: INR50.53 Million; FY12:INR81.38 Million
FY10: INR161.71 Million; FY12: INR252.27 Million
FY10: INR17.47 Million; FY12:INR782.03 Million

Correct answer: C

“Following four entities operate in the Indian IT and BPO space. They all are into same segment of providing off-shore analytical services. They all operate on the labour cost-arbitrage in India and the countries of their clients. Following information pertains for the year ended March 31, 2013.

The year FY13, was typically a good year for Indian IT companies. For FY14, the economic analysts have given following predictions about the IT Industry:

A) It is expected that INR will appreciate sharply against other USD.

B) Given high inflation and attrition in IT Industry in India, the wages of IT sector employees will increase more sharply than Inflation and general wage rise in country.

C) US Congress will be passing a bill which restricts the outsourcing to third world countries like India.

While analyzing the four entities, you come across following findings related to Glowing:

Glowing is promoted by Mr.M R Bhutta, who has earlier promoted two other business ventures, He started with ABC Entertainment Ltd in 1996 and was promoter and MD of the company. ABC was a listed entity and its share price had sharp movements at the time of stock market scam in late 1990s. In 1999, Mr.Bhutta sold his entire stake and resigned from the post of MD. The stock price declined by about 90% in coming days and has never recovered. Later on in 2003, Mr.Bhutta again promoted a new business, Klear Publications Ltd (KCL) an in the business of magazine publication. The entity had come out with a successful IPO and raised money from public. Thereafter it ran into troubles and reported losses. In 2009, Mr.Bhutta went on to exit this business as well by selling stake to other promoter(s). There have been reports in both instances with allegations that promoters have siphoned off money from listed entities to other group entities, however, nothing has been proved in any court.”

Which of the following risks do not exist for Indian IT industry?

Raw material price risk, Exchange rate Risk
Interest rate risk, Skilled Manpower Risk
Exchange Rate Risk, Interest rate risk
Domestic and international regulatory risk, technological risk

Correct answer: B

“Following four entities operate in the Indian IT and BPO space. They all are into same segment of providing off-shore analytical services. They all operate on the labour cost-arbitrage in India and the countries of their clients. Following information pertains for the year ended March 31, 2013.

The year FY13, was typically a good year for Indian IT companies. For FY14, the economic analysts have given following predictions about the IT Industry:

A) It is expected that INR will appreciate sharply against other USD.

B) Given high inflation and attrition in IT Industry in India, the wages of IT sector employees will increase more sharply than Inflation and general wage rise in country.

C) US Congress will be passing a bill which restricts the outsourcing to third world countries like India.

While analyzing the four entities, you come across following findings related to Glowing:

Glowing is promoted by Mr.M R Bhutta, who has earlier promoted two other business ventures, He started with ABC Entertainment Ltd in 1996 and was promoter and MD of the company. ABC was a listed entity and its share price had sharp movements at the time of stock market scam in late 1990s. In 1999, Mr. Bhutta sold his entire stake and resigned from the post of MD. The stock price declined by about 90% in coming days and has never recovered. Later on in 2003, Mr. Bhutta again promoted a new business, Klear Publications Ltd (KCL) an in the business of magazine publication. The entity had come out with a successful IPO and raised money from public. Thereafter it ran into troubles and reported losses. In 2009, Mr. Bhutta went on to exit this business as well by selling stake to other promoter(s). There have been reports in both instances with allegations that promoters have siphoned off money from listed entities to other group entities, however, nothing has been proved in any court.”

Which entity is best in terms of overall gearing ratio and net gearing ratio respectively:

Glowing and Beautiful
Handsome and Handsome
Glamorous and Glowing
Glamorous and Glamorous

Correct answer: C

“Following four entities operate in the Indian IT and BPO space. They all are into same segment of providing off-shore analytical services. They all operate on the labour cost-arbitrage in India and the countries of their clients. Following information pertains for the year ended March 31, 2013.

The year FY13, was typically a good year for Indian IT companies. For FY14, the economic analysts have given following predictions about the IT Industry:

A) It is expected that INR will appreciate sharply against other USD.

B) Given high inflation and attrition in IT Industry in India, the wages of IT sector employees will increase more sharply than Inflation and general wage rise in country.

C) US Congress will be passing a bill which restricts the outsourcing to third world countries like India.

While analyzing the four entities, you come across following findings related to Glowing:

Glowing is promoted by Mr.M R Bhutta, who has earlier promoted two other business ventures, He started with ABC Entertainment Ltd in 1996 and was promoter and MD of the company. ABC was a listed entity and its share price had sharp movements at the time of stock market scam in late 1990s. In 1999, Mr.Bhutta sold his entire stake and resigned from the post of MD. The stock price declined by about 90% in coming days and has never recovered. Later on in 2003, Mr. Bhutta again promoted a new business, Klear Publications Ltd (KCL) an in the business of magazine publication. The entity had come out with a successful IPO and raised money from public. Thereafter it ran into troubles and reported losses. In 2009, Mr. Bhutta went on to exit this business as well by selling stake to other promoter(s). There have been reports in both instances with allegations that promoters have siphoned off money from listed entities to other group entities, however, nothing has been proved in any court.”

What will be impact of on the predictions A and B of the economic analysts, on companies:

Handsome: No Impact on sales; Margins may squeeze; Glowing: INR Sales may decline; margins may squeeze.
Handsome: INRSales may increase; margins may squeeze; Glowing: INRSales will increase; margins may squeeze.
Handsome: INR Sales may decline; margins may squeeze; Glowing: INR Sales may decline; margins may squeeze.
Handsome: No Impact on sales; Margins may squeeze; Glowing: No Impact on sales; Margins may squeeze.

Correct answer: B

Vendor:	AIWMI
Exam Code:	CCRA
Exam Name:	Certified Credit Research Analyst
Date:	Apr 15, 2020
File Size:	1 MB

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